Sunday, July 24, 2011

Why Has M-PESA Only Been Truly Successful in Kenya?

Much has been made over the success of the M-PESA mobile banking system in Kenya.  Alice Liu and others in her profession have argued that m-banking will be the way of the future in the developing world and that it can be an immediate success.  While m-banking may be highly successful in the future, right now the only real success story is M-PESA in Kenya.  Phone companies and banks have attempted to implement this system in many other countries in Africa and Asia to limited success and even outright failure.  The question then is why does the system work in Kenya but not in other countries?  I would argue that companies have attempted to use the same strategy as M-PESA in other countries without taking into account the geographic and cultural differences.  In a 2009 article, the Consultative Group to Assist the Poor, or CGAP, used Tanzania, a country that borders Kenya, as a case study for why M-PESA may not work in other places.  http://www.cgap.org/p/site/c/template.rc/1.26.10908/ In the article, they discuss the difference in geography and culture as well as agent networks, and marketing.  According to CGAP, Tanzania is almost double the size of Kenya but is much less densely populated.  Also, its three main urban centers are much smaller than the three main urban centers of Kenya.  Since the population is spread much thinner in Tanzania, it is more difficult to find agents who a large network of people will trust with their money.  People are inherently less connected with each other and interact less, so agent networks must be smaller and therefore less efficient.  When it comes to mobile banking, everything depends on whether or not people can trust the agent they are giving money to.  It is up to the agent to make the transfer of money for people and to make sure he has enough money for withdrawals.  An untrustworthy agent destroys the process, and in a bigger but less densely populated country like Tanzania, trust may be harder to come by.  Furthermore, a similar marketing strategy was used, which may not have been as relatable to Tanzanians as it was to the Kenyans.

The example of M-PESA and its flaws highlight the problems with information technology in the developing world in general.  When a program succeeds in one country, people are quick to jump on the bandwagon and try to implement it in other developing countries.  However, what they fail to realize is that not all countries in the developing world are in the same, and in fact, most are very different.  In the west, we tend to group all developing countries together into one large group and assume that they have the same needs and desires.  This ignorant view leads to developed countries forcing programs on developing countries like the One Laptop Per Child or M-PESA system that they may just not be ready for or even find useful.  Information technology and its many offshoots can and probably will be extremely important in bringing up developing countries and helping citizens improve their standard of living.  However, we can not expect giving a child a laptop or a phone to immediately elevate the economy of these countries or their standard of living.  This process will take time and can only work if programs are implemented that fit each country individually.  I believe it is imperative that the leaders of these programs actually talk to people from specific countries and learn about their cultures and histories before blindly implementing programs that may have worked elsewhere.  By tweaking these promising programs to fit individual countries, we can avoid failures and hopefully provide a boost to these developing countries faster and more efficiently than by just forcing programs down their throat.

3 comments:

  1. First, I would like to say it was an honor to read the blog of blogging superstar Adam Stein. Secondly, I agree with your point that we often take programs that work and then try to apply them in different situations, assuming that they will work. A lot of this has to do with the fact that ICT development is such a new field. Many times during the semester we would ask questions to the guest speakers, and the speakers had no answers for us because, in fact, nobody has the answers yet. I think that as the industries of ICTs and m-banking advance, we will be more able to adjust programs for specific countries. But as of now, the trial and error method is useful as sort of a real life experiment, as long as we are willing to burn money on projects that may not pan out.

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  2. Although it is worth mentioning that Afghanistan has experienced a relative amount of success using the M-PESA model to pay police officers, Kenya under the M-PESA model seems to be an exception to the rule rather than the rule itself. Trust in agents seems to be the key for success in the M-PESA system so maybe it would be a good for each village in a sparsely populated area to have its own agent, possibly appointed by the people in the local area. However, like you mentioned more agents means more inefficiency and appointments and democracy are not part of some cultures in the third world. I think Greg also has a good point about this being an age of trial and error. The truth is no one has an exact formula for what systems will work in what countries but when something like M-PESA achieves success in Kenya then definitely WHY NOT try it in other places?

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  3. Adam, I think you bring up an excellent point about the high expectations of programs such as M-PESA once they find success in a country. Although, like the other two comments have noted, it is a period of trial and error I feel that often times the leaders of this program refuse to admit that their idea (that worked well in one country) could fail elsewhere. Instead of restructuring the programs and providing flexibility to adapt to cultural differences, they continue to waste resources and time in trying to make a one-fit-all model. With time, I'm sure these programs will adapt accordingly, and hopefully we understand what elements are successful in certain countries and furthermore why it was successful.

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